Bloomberg has created a website to visualize public sentiment about whether or not Britain should leave the European Union, a referendum known as the “Brexit.” The tracker, which Bloomberg updates daily, plots polling data and analysis from the Brexit probability index, a score calculated by Matt Singh of the Number Cruncher Politics blog that aggregates and adjusts polling data for historical accuracy and recency. The tracker charts the overall likelihood of the Brexit, political events that could influence public sentiment about the Brexit, the impact of the possibility of the Brexit on financial markets, and the percentage of people for and against the Brexit since September 1, 2015, when the referendum question was established. The tracker will continue until June 23, 2016, when Britain will vote on the referendum.
Tracking the Likelihood of the Brexit
Joshua New was a senior policy analyst at the Center for Data Innovation. He has a background in government affairs, policy, and communication. Prior to joining the Center for Data Innovation, Joshua graduated from American University with degrees in C.L.E.G. (Communication, Legal Institutions, Economics, and Government) and Public Communication. His research focuses on methods of promoting innovative and emerging technologies as a means of improving the economy and quality of life.
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